Hawks have a lot of young talent, no doubt, but I happen to believe they're going to find a lot of PT for Acie Law & Al Horford. And if that happens, they won't be a playoff team (probably won't be regardless). Other than Joe Johnson, all of the critical components on that franchise are still in the development stage.

I like the New Orleans play, but the injury factor concerns me. Paul, Peja, West, and Tyson have all struggled to stay on the floor in recent seasons. I like the over, but I wouldn't pound it.

Sacramento comes with a fair share of risk. Personally, I see them trying to blow up the team (moving Bibby and/or Artest and/or Miller) this season and rebuild around Kevin Martin & Spencer Hawes. If that happens, no chance in hell they win 36 games in the West.

Even though it doesn't have the greatest mathematical disparity among my projections, I'd say I'm most comfortable with the Orlando play. Under no circumstances can I envision them winning that many games.

I find Seattle, Portland, and Minnesota to be equally offensive this year. The fact that The Greek has such a wide range between them surprises me.

Also, thanks for the heads up, but I haven't been to sportsbook.com since they changed ownership. Just checked there for the lines.

Lastly, and I'm sure you're already aware of this Coast, but it bears repeating, all of these lines are geared towards unders. My projections are based on the actual number of games to be played. If you add them all up, they'll total 1230. The Greek has a total of 1287.5 victories below. That, I suspect, probably represents a greater differential %-wise than the few teams where my rankings differ substantially.

Good luck.

I will be making investments on Orlando, Sacramento, Seattle, Atlanta and Portland UNDERs. Just shopping for the best prices. Sac, Atlanta and Portland unders already getting play, so I won't wait long.

The Hawks Under bet doesnt look great right now, either does the Magic.